I cannot just standby and wait for my nephew Dominic to state his valid arguments as to why Trump will win re-election in the fall in his next article he promises to publish on this website. He is spending a considerable amount of time putting his facts together that support Trump and thus his reasoning for supporting him. But what I need to do is to move forward and explain why I believe that Trump will not win in the fall. When Dominic finally does write his next article then and, in the future, I will fact check everything he says, just like the media fact-checks Trump, and some of the lies are so obvious, how does Trump think he can get away with any of the lies!!
Even Trump is getting some very bad news from his top political advisers that there is some very worrisome polling data out there that shows eroding support in battleground states. I briefly mentioned this to my nephew Dominic, but he laughs and says that I’m reading what he calls ‘fake media’ reporting.
First and foremost, the 2020 general election will be mainly about Trump’s response, or the lack of it for the Covid-19 outbreak. His making a of good economy will have no effect now, especially since it’s in the toilet as of this writing. Second, as previously mentioned, surveys made by his own Republican National Committee show that the outcome will be very bleak for the president if he doesn’t get a handle around the virus outbreak and get people to work.
The problem is that there are now several million people out of work, the unemployment roles could go upwards in excess of almost 53 million people out of work. That sounds very serious, and it is. If the unemployment reached that height, that would mean that there would be more than three times as many people out of work than during the worst peak of the Great Depression. Who would ever imagine that there may be a 30% unemployment rate affecting the American people?
Trumps answer to this is to open the county back up, and get people back to work. The problem here is that the American people no longer trust the president, and even when he gives the states the go-ahead to open, he cannot force people to go back to work. But at the same time, Donald Trump has decided that as of the end of this month, either today or tomorrow, that there will be no further need to practice social distancing. Many people don’t like the fact that they are laid-off from work, but they now have some support with unemployment benefits that they qualify for. But instead of keeping the people safe by staying at home, Trump wants to reopen the economy by having workers go back to their jobs, without any real testing in force. Some Republican governors are telling residents of their states that they must go back to their jobs as early as next Monday or possibly lose their unemployment benefits. That’s what Trump wants to happen, even if the companies haven’t figured out a way to continue social-distancing at the workplace. Trump is banking on the economy getting back in shape, when in actuality, the economy will be in pretty bad shape up to including and after the presidential election.
Also, as if Donald Trump already doesn’t have the deaths of thousands of Americans on his hands already, he is gambling that the outbreak of Covid-19 will just stop, even though some major cities in the United States are still experiencing a very high death rate. Restaurants plan to open, with the guidelines of lowering their occupant capacity to only 25% of what it was during normal times. They think that would be enough to open. Still, will all the people wear face masks? Will they continue to practice staying away from the next person by 6-8 feet apart? Will the businesses fully enforce the rules? The answer to all three questions is ‘NO’.
Several of the governors will allow places like barbershops and beauty salons to open up. How do you practice social distancing in those businesses? Can you stand at least 6-8 foot from your patron?
The simple answer is you cannot. Another outrageous outcome for example, the governor of Florida is opening up the beaches. That means that there will be hundreds of people playing and bathing together. No social distancing will be there. Is there a high chance of covid-19 outbreaks to continue on the beaches? The answer is YES.
Will any of this activity stop the continued spread of Covid-19? Can we be sure that the people who go to the beaches, the barbershops, restaurants and the like are Covid-19 free? Of course, you cannot, which means even more people will die who become infected with Covid-19. The total death toll will continue to rise and that will again surely be on the hands of Donald Trump. I wouldn’t be surprised if the country had to go back to social distancing again, and that surely would kill what was left of the economy.
All of the experts say that without the necessary volume of testing, social distancing should continue and the economy should not try and open up at this time until testing and social distancing can be done.
Dr. Anthony Fauci stated “It’s inevitable that we have a return of the virus and maybe it even never goes away”, but Trump contradicts the doctor saying “It’s going to be eradicated” That’s doctor Trump speaking.
Dr. Fauci stated “If you want to get to pre-coronavirus, that may never happen in the sense that the threat is there.”
But Trump then states “I can see the new normal being what it was three months ago. I think we want to go back where it was”.
A question was posed to the president “Do you think you are confident that you can surpass 5 million tests?”
Trump answers, stating “We are going to be there very soon. If you look at the numbers, it could be that we are getting very close”. Then he contradicts himself saying… “Somebody came out with 5,000,000 people. Do I think we will? I think we will, but I never said it”. Professionals who know about testing says that the amount of 5,000,000 tests a day will never happen.
So, Trump contradicts Dr. Fauci, and Trump then has to lie again, saying that he didn’t say something that was actually recorded on tape. How big of an ignoramus fool do you have to be to act like Trump!
Another fact. With the death toll continuing to rise, Trump is rejecting the idea of a new normal, as he repeatedly states that things will get back to what they were like before the pandemic hit, and it will do so quickly. He claims that the virus will be eradicated with, or without a vaccine. No medical professional would say that, only Donald Trump who is scared that if it is not eradicated before the election, that would hurt his chances for re-election.
Even if my nephew could honestly convince himself while trying to convince me that Donald Trump will win re-election, then what is the explanation for the polling numbers. By ALL polls, if the general election were held today, Trump would lose. Trump is melting down, with his slipping poll numbers.
Presently, Trump is losing in every important state. His own campaign manager Pascal told him how grim his election possibilities were at this moment. Then he threatens to sue his own campaign manager because he gave him that information. That’s a terrible place to be with only 6 months left before the election. Then he states that his relation with his campaign manager is good. Another lie!!
There are some very important states that he MUST win in order to be re-elected but he trails Joe Biden in several key states. His only out may be to reverse the economic downturn effecting the economy caused by Covid-19. Anyone with any sense will tell you that will that the economy will not come back by election day. The GDP dropped almost 5% yesterday, and the prediction is that there will be another big drop next month. There is just not enough time before the election for the economy to recover.
Here are the polls that all show Trump losing to Joe Biden. His campaign team brought him a dose of reality, stating if the election were held today, he would lose.
Trump is losing in Texas, in North Carolina and all over the United States and overall, he would lose the electoral college. He presently is trailing Joe Biden by 10 points nationally in a few polls. In a little more of a breakdown, check out the following information. Fact-check it if you like.
By today’s date, April 30th, here are the standings…
Trump is losing by 8 points in Pennsylvania and Michigan according to most polls.
Trump is losing by 3 points in Florida. He is down by double digits by seniors in Florida.
Trump is losing by 8 points in New Hampshire.
Trump is losing by 5 points in North Carolina.
Trump is losing by 1 point in the state of Texas.
Trump is losing by 36 points in his home state of New York.
Now stop and think about this for a second. He is technically in a statistical tie in the state of Texas. Really?!?!?!? Texas is or was a solid Republican state. Texas may flip in November, but I even admit that it is a real long-shot, even if Trump is only loosing by one point in a poll.
Again, today is April 30th. Trumps approval rating now sits at 44%. He has done nothing to date to gather support from Democrats, Independents, women and minorities. Trumps campaign team implored Trump to stop holding his daily task force briefings as they are hurting his numbers, but instead of acknowledging that, he was more concerned that his TV ratings could take a hit. Trump openly states that he doesn’t believe the polls. Even though his own senior campaign staff is telling him that he’s losing, he still says that he’s still winning Florida and the mid-west. I guess the seniors in Florida where they now do not support Trump by double digits will still vote for him in November. Now that is what I call wishful thinking….
The bottom line here is that Donald Trump is in trouble. He is in a total meltdown, and harmed his political reputation with the daily briefings especially when he likes to play doctor, telling people that they need to ingest Lysol . Of course, he would never acknowledge the true facts. Trump is truly bleeding here. It pretty much started at the beginning of the pandemic just a few months ago. On February 28th, there was only 1 recorded death from Covid-19, but today there are over 60,000 deaths, but he believes that now social distancing should be stopped. Why? Because he has to get the economy working again so he can get re-elected. Never mind about the health and welfare of the American people. Good luck Mr. Trump.. Good luck to my nephew Dominic!!